Kokoomuksen kannatus ja monikulttuuri Helsingissä

Kokoomus on vuoden 2017 kuntavaalien tuloksena Helsingin suurin puolue 28,4 prosentin ääniosuudella. Puolueen kannatus tulee alueilta, missä ulkomaalaistaustaisia on vähän, ja laskee kohti monikulttuurilla rikastettuja itäisiä lähiöitä.

Allaolevan kuvan vasemmassa laidassa näkyy Kokoomuksen vahvin kannatusalue, sinivalkoinen kupla, eli Pakilan ja Tuomarinkylän pientalovaltaiset suomenkieliset alueet, jotka väestöpohjansa puolesta elävät vielä aikaa ennen maahanmuuttajien tulvaa. Siellä Kokoomuksen kannatus huitelee 50 prosentin tuntumassa – huolimatta siitä että Kokoomuksen tavoitteena on monikulttuurisuuden ulottaminen kaikkialle.

Kuvan ympyrät ovat Helsingin hallinnollisia piirejä. Pinta-ala kuvaa alueen väestön määrää. Väri puolestaan viittaa asukkaiden äidinkieleen: sininen suomi, vihreä ruotsi ja punainen muunkieliset. Ulkomaalaistaustaisten osuus kasvaa oikealle mentäessä, ja sijainti korkeussuunassa kuvaa Kokoomuksen kannatusta. Ympyrää klikkaamalla selviää alueen nimi ja yksityiskohtaiset tiedot.

Kokoomuksen kannatus siis laskee tasaisesti ulkomaalaistaustaisten osuuden lisääntyessä. Paikallinen notkahdus havaitaan punavihreässä kuplassa Kallion, Vallilan, Alppiharjun ynnä Vanhankaupungin tienoilla.

Kannatuspohjaltaan Kokoomus muistuttaa vain Rkp:tä, kuten allaolevasta pylväskuviosta voi todeta. Siinä havainnollistetaan kuinka alueellinen kannatus korreloi muiden puolueiden kanssa. Erityisesen voimakas negatiivinen korrelaatio löytyy Vasemmistoliiton kanssa – siellä missä äänestetään Kokoomusta ei Vasemmistoliitto juhli ja kääntäen.

Vaaliohjelmassaan Kokoomus on ulkomaalaispolitiikasta sangen vaitonainen. Kehitysmäärärahoja se lisäisi ja siirtäisi turvapaikkojen jakamisen EU:n kontolle.

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